Articles

Aiming at the Wrong Targets: The Difficulty of Improving Domestic Institutions with International Aid. International Studies Quarterly, forthcoming (With Benjamin P. Buch and Bradley C. Parks) [PDF]

Abstract — We explain why international development organizations have had so little success building and reforming public sector institutions in developing countries, despite the extraordinary amounts of time, money, and effort that they have devoted to this enterprise and an apparently strong commitment to achieving measurable results. We demonstrate that, when access to financing is made conditional upon achievement of performance targets, countries tend to choose easy and shallow targets that measure how public sector institutions are organized. These targets often do not focus attention on solving public problems through institution building, but instead provide countries with low-cost opportunities to signal commitment to institution building to international development organizations. We demonstrate that this argument has both explanatory and predictive power for a sector of World Bank lending — environment and natural resource management — that focuses heavily on improving public sector institutions.

psur_matching2Titling Community Land to Prevent Deforestation: An Evaluation of a Best-Case Program in Morona-Santiago, Ecuador. 2015. Global Environmental Change 33: 32-43 (With Stuart E. Hamilton and Marco Millones). [ FinalPDF | Replication FilesPresentation ]

Assigning land title to collective landholders is one of the primary policies land management agencies use to avoid deforestation worldwide. Such programs are designed to improve the ability of landholders to legally exclude competing users and thereby strengthen incentives to manage forests for long-term benefits. Despite the prevalence of this hypothesis, findings about the impacts of land titling programs on deforestation are mixed. Evidence is often unreliable because programs are targeted according to factors that independently influence the conversion of forests. We evaluate a donor-funded land titling and land management program for indigenous communities implemented in Morona-Santiago, Ecuador. This program offers a close to best case scenario for a land titling program to reduce deforestation because of colonization pressure, availability of payments when titled communities maintain forests, and limited opportunities for commercial agriculture. We match plots in program areas with similar plots outside program areas on covariates that influence forest conversion. Based on matched comparisons, we do not find evidence that land titling or community management plans reduced forest loss in the five years following legal recognition. The results call into question land titling as a direct deforestation strategy and suggests land titling is better viewed a precursor to other programs.

WB_Mod3b_fitted_webAccountability in Global Governance: Civil Society Claims for Environmental Performance at the World Bank. International Studies Quarterly 59(1): 99-111. [ FinalPreprint | Replication Files ]

Abstract — Both states and civil society groups face challenges in holding international organizations accountable for achieving their mandates. States often have difficulty monitoring the actions of international organizations. Civil society groups often have limited ability to directly influence decision-making at international organizations. States have created accountability mechanisms at international organizations to overcome these challenges. Accountability mechanisms allow civil society groups to submit complaints about the performance of international organizations. While ombudsmen offices, accountability panels, and complaint mechanisms have grown more common, it is unclear when and why these mechanisms can constrain behavior by international organizations that runs counter to the mutual interest of states and civil society groups. Using the World Bank Inspection Panel as a test case, I show that civil society monitors change the lending behavior of the World Bank when they enhance oversight by powerful states with similar interests. By combining their abilities in sanctioning and monitoring, states and civil society groups are able to more effectively govern international organizations.

Fig1_webEncouraging Clean Energy Investment in Developing Countries: What Role for Aid? Climate Policy, forthcoming. (With William A. Pizer) [ FinalPreprint ]

Abstract — A large portion of foreign assistance for climate change mitigation in developing countries is directed to clean energy facilities. To support international mitigation goals, however, donors must make investments that have effects beyond individual facilities. They must reduce barriers to private-sector investment by generating information for developers, improving relevant infrastructure, or changing policies. We examine whether donor agencies target financing for commercial-scale wind and solar facilities to countries where private investment in clean energy is limited and whether donor investments lead to more private investments. On average, we find no positive evidence for these patterns of targeting and impact. Coupled with model results that show feed-in tariffs increase private investment, we argue that donor agencies should reallocate resources to improve policies that promote private investment in developing countries, rather than finance individual clean energy facilities. We suggest that international negotiations could usefully shift the focus of climate change finance towards adaptation in exchange for mitigation-improving policy reforms in developing countries.

When Do Environmentally-Focused Assistance Projects Achieve their Objectives? Evidence from World Bank Post-Project Evaluations. 2013. Global Environmental Politics 13(2): 65-88 (with Bradley C. Parks). [ FinalPreprint | Replication Files ]

Abstract — Scholars and practitioners alike have paid a great deal of attention to the factors that promote successful outcomes in environmentally-focused assistance projects. Previous studies have identified a number of potentially important predictors of successful outcomes, including the political commitment, institutional capacity, governance quality of the recipient country, the severity of environmental pressures in the recipient country, donor-recipient contracting dynamics, project characteristics, and civic participation in the recipient country environment sector. We compile post-project outcome ratings for all environmentally-focused aid projects approved since 1994 by the World Bank and use the resulting dataset to submit hypotheses about successful donor projects to a general empirical test. We find that strong public sector institutions in the borrowing country and proactive staff supervision contribute to satisfactory project outcomes. Our results also suggest that projects seeking to achieve global environmental objectives are less likely to succeed. We argue that future research will be most fruitful if it focuses on how the operational and management characteristics of individual projects lead to successful outcomes.

Does the Asian Development Bank Respond to Past Environmental Performance When Allocating Environmentally-Risky Financing? 2011. World Development 39(3): 336-350. [ Final | Preprint | Data | Source Data | Code ]

Summary — This paper provides an empirical test of whether the Asian Development Bank (ADB) adjusts allocation decisions about environmentally-risky projects to reflect borrower environmental performance in previous projects.  This type of performance-based decision-making has been repeatedly highlighted as key to achieving favorable development assistance outcomes in a variety of programming areas.  I collect recipient environmental performance information from all available post-project evaluations since 1990 and create an indicator of environmental reputation using a Bayesian updating model.  I use this environmental reputation indicator to demonstrate that the ADB responds to previous borrower environmental performance when approving environmentally-risky projects, but that past environmental performance does not positively influence the allocation of projects with no environmental risks.  These results demonstrate that performance-based allocation decisions are possible for development organizations within specific programmatic areas when low performance is a significant risk to the core functions of the organization, which in this case is the ability to approve and disburse lending projects.

Human Use and Conservation Planning in Alpine Areas of Northwestern Yunnan, China. 2007. Environment, Development, and Sustainability 9(5): 305-324 (with Renée B. Mullen and James P. Lassoie). [PDF]

Abstract — Alpine areas in northwestern Yunnan, China possess globally significant levels of biodiversity and are important locally for livelihood activities such as livestock grazing and medicinal plant collection. Because local land use has important impacts on alpine conditions and communities have significant capacity to manage alpine resources, we emphasized local collaboration during the initial stages of conservation planning. Our collaboration with local communities investigated how livelihood strategies affect the condition of alpine resources in northwestern Yunnan and how future conservation efforts can be compatible with local livelihoods. We sampled three livestock herding sites, each within a different alpine sub-region, using open-ended interviews and maximum variation sampling. According to interviewees, livestock grazing within the alpine zone currently does not appear to be negatively impacting the availability of forage. Medicinal plant collection, however, is showing unsustainable trends. Tourism is as yet a nascent industry, but is seen as having great potential by those interviewed. It is clear that with increases in population, access to regional markets, and tourism, northwestern Yunnan’s rich alpine resources will require careful management. In addition to the data collected, we found that the methodology used may be widely applicable to organizations with limited resources that wish to engage local communities during the formative stages of regional-level conservation planning.

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